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Montreal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
Jets logo
Jets
Winnipeg
0
vs
Canadiens logo
Canadiens
Montreal
0
WPG 65%35% MTL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Winnipeg Jets 65% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Jets:

  • Injuries. Jets healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 6 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Jets are 3-4 at home this season; Canadiens are 3-3 on the road
  • Rest Days. Jets rest advantage (2 days rest) over Canadiens (1 day rest)

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VenuePrincess Auto Stadium
Winnipeg, MB

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Canadiens (away)
Jets (home)
35%
Win probability
65%
0
High-impact factors
1
6
Players ruled out
4

Game Preview

Canadiens at Jets

The Canadiens visit the Jets at Princess Auto Stadium in Winnipeg, MB in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Jets a 65% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Canadiens to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Injuries favors the Jets (high): Jets healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 6 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Jets (low): Jets are 3-4 at home this season; Canadiens are 3-3 on the road
  • Rest Days favors the Jets (low): Jets rest advantage (2 days rest) over Canadiens (1 day rest)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Jets have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Canadiens have 6.
Jets65%

is strongly favored to win

Key Factor
Injuries
Favors WPG

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • Rest DaysFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • ELO RatingFavors Montreal Canadiens
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MTL
WPG
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours MTL|Favours WPG

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Jets healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 6 out, 0 doubtful

Jets
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/24/2026, 3:00:19 AM

Jets

Vladislav NamestnikovC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Nick BjugstadC(Pectoral)
OUT
Garrett BrownC(Lower Body)
OUT
Josh MorrisseyD(Wrist)
OUT
Nino NiederreiterRW(Upper Body)
QUESTIONABLE

Canadiens

Nick SuzukiC(Upper Body)
OUT
Bryce PickfordD(Undisclosed)
OUT
Sam MontembeaultG(Lower Body)
OUT
Lucas CondottaLW(Undisclosed)
OUT
Florian XhekajLW(Lower Body)
OUT
Ivan DemidovRW(Lower Body)
OUT

Key Players

Canadiens

Jacob FowlerG
Jakub DobesG
Sam MontembeaultGOUT
-8.3% win prob impact
Nick SuzukiCOUT
-5.0% win prob impact
Oliver KapanenC

Jets

Clay StevensonG
Stuart SkinnerG
Connor HellebuyckG
Viggo BjorckC
Adam LowryC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Jets has a 65% win probability, while Canadiens has a 35% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Princess Auto Stadium in Winnipeg, MB.

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