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NHL2026-27 season

Dallas Stars vs New York Islanders

Head-to-head win probability for NHL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Next meeting

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Stars logo
DAL
Dallas Stars
Upcoming
Islanders logo
NYI
New York Islanders
DAL 49%51% NYI
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This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Dallas Stars
  • Home Field Advantage — Stars are 5-2 at home this season; Sharks are 5-4 on the road
  • ELO Rating — Stars ELO 1523 vs Sharks ELO 1458 (diff: +65)
  • Recent Form — Stars (6-3) in better form than Sharks (6-4)
New York Islanders
  • Home Field Advantage — Islanders are 4-4 at home this season; Devils are 2-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)

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Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.