NFL weekly report cards
Each week lists every finished game, the pre-kickoff win probability, and the result. Hit rate and Brier score use the same rules as the accuracy page.
- 2026 week 7100.0% · Brier 0.198 · 1 games
- 2026 week 642.9% · Brier 0.276 · 14 games
- 2026 week 564.3% · Brier 0.229 · 15 games
- 2026 week 462.5% · Brier 0.247 · 16 games
- 2026 week 343.8% · Brier 0.260 · 16 games
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.