PlayDecoded
Menu

New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs

NFLWeek 5 • regular • 2024
completed
Chiefs logo
Chiefs
Kansas City
26
vs
Saints logo
Saints
New Orleans
13
KC 56%44% NO
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueArrowhead Stadium
Kansas City, MO

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Saints (away)
Chiefs (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Chiefs defeated the Saints 26-13.

Our model predicted the Chiefs would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Chiefs and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Kansas City Chiefs (0 out) vs New Orleans Saints (0 out)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Kansas City Chiefs (8 days) vs New Orleans Saints (8 days)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Chiefs won 26-13

Chiefs won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Chiefs at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NO
KC
Home Field Advantage
Favours NO|Favours KC

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/27/2026, 10:41:07 PM

Frequently Asked Questions

Chiefs has a 56% win probability, while Saints has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO.

View all NFL games