New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Patriots defeated the Bills 23-20.
Our model predicted the Bills would win with 59% confidence, but the Patriots pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Bills has a 59% win probability, while Patriots has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY.