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Carolina Panthers at New England Patriots

NFLWeek 4 • regular • 2025
completed
Patriots logo
Patriots
New England
42
vs
Panthers logo
Panthers
Carolina
13
NE 56%44% CAR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueGillette Stadium
Foxborough, MA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Panthers (away)
Patriots (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Patriots defeated the Panthers 42-13.

Our model predicted the Patriots would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Patriots and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison
  • Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Patriots won 42-13

Patriots won in a blowout

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Patriots at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CAR
NE
Home Field Advantage
Favours CAR|Favours NE

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/27/2026, 10:41:18 PM

Frequently Asked Questions

Patriots has a 56% win probability, while Panthers has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA.

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