NFL2026 season
New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
NE
New England Patriots
20
vs
PIT
Pittsburgh Steelers
3
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
New England Patriots
- ELO Rating — Dolphins ELO 1408 vs Patriots ELO 1585 (diff: -177)
Pittsburgh Steelers
- Injuries — Steelers healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Browns 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage — Steelers are 3-0 at home this season; Browns are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating — Steelers ELO 1517 vs Browns ELO 1422 (diff: +95)
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