Los Angeles Rams at Atlanta Falcons

NFLWeek 17 • regular • 2025

Final

Falcons

Atlanta

Rams

Los Angeles

ATL 55%45% LAR

Prediction Confidence:

High

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VenueMercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta, GA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rams (away)

Falcons (home)

45%

Win probability

55%

High-impact factors

Players ruled out

Falcons55%

is favored to win

Key Factor

Home Field Advantage

Favors ATL

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

LAR

ATL

Home Field Advantage

Rest Days

Favours LAR|Favours ATL

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Team Performance

Low impactHow team performanceworks →

4 factors

Recent Form

No recent form data available

Neutral

Offensive Efficiency

No offensive stats available for comparison

Neutral

Defensive Efficiency

No defensive stats available for comparison

Neutral

Turnover Differential

No turnover stats available for comparison

Neutral

Injuries & Personnel

Low impactHow injuries & personnelworks →

1 factor

Injuries

Similar injury situations: Atlanta Falcons (0 out) vs Los Angeles Rams (0 out)

Neutral

Home & Venue

Medium impactHow home & venueworks →

1 factor

Home Field Advantage

Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

Falcons

Rest & Schedule

Low impact

1 factor

Rest Days

Similar rest: Atlanta Falcons (8 days) vs Los Angeles Rams (11 days)

Neutral

Weather & Conditions

Low impactHow weather & conditionsworks →

1 factor

Weather Impact

Indoor venue - weather not a factor

Neutral

Historical

Low impactHow historicalworks →

1 factor

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head history available

Neutral

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/27/2026, 10:41:21 PM

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NFL Win Probability

How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics

4 min readRead article

Deep Dive

Home Field Advantage

How playing at home affects NFL win probability

3 min readRead article

Deep Dive

NFL Weather Impact

How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Falcons has a 55% win probability, while Rams has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA.

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