Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies 64% to win. The biggest signal favoring Grizzlies:
- Injuries. Grizzlies healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Jazz 3 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Grizzlies defeated the Jazz 123-103.
Our model predicted the Grizzlies would win with 64% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Grizzlies and was a major factor: Grizzlies healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Jazz 3 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage was neutral and a contributing factor: Grizzlies are 1-1 at home this season; Jazz are 2-0 on the road
- ELO Rating was neutral and a contributing factor: Grizzlies ELO 1377 vs Jazz ELO 1379 (diff: -2)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Grizzlies have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Jazz have 3.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Grizzlies won convincingly
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Memphis Grizzlies
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Grizzlies
Jazz
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Grizzlies healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Jazz 3 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Grizzlies
Jazz
Key Players
Jazz
Grizzlies
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Grizzlies has a 64% win probability, while Jazz has a 36% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at FedExForum in Memphis, TN.