Indiana Pacers at New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans 75% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Pelicans:
- Injuries. Pelicans healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Pacers 3 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Pelicans are 1-0 at home this season; Pacers are 0-1 on the road
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Pacers defeated the Pelicans 123-120.
Our model predicted the Pelicans would win with 75% confidence, but the Pacers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Pelicans and was a major factor: Pelicans healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Pacers 3 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Pelicans and was a major factor: Pelicans are 1-0 at home this season; Pacers are 0-1 on the road
- ELO Rating was neutral and a contributing factor: Pelicans ELO 1451 vs Pacers ELO 1438 (diff: +12)
- The Pacers are without 3 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Pacers won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors New Orleans Pelicans
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New Orleans Pelicans
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Pelicans
Pacers
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Pelicans healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Pacers 3 out, 0 doubtful
Home Field Advantage
Pelicans are 1-0 at home this season; Pacers are 0-1 on the road
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Pelicans
No injuries reported
Pacers
Key Players
Pacers
Pelicans
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Pelicans has a 75% win probability, while Pacers has a 25% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA.