Detroit Pistons at Washington Wizards
Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards head-to-head
Detroit Pistons 82% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Pistons:
- Offensive Efficiency. Pistons offense (124.5 PPG) outpaces Wizards (118.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Pistons defense (112.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (116.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating. Wizards ELO 1395 vs Pistons ELO 1619 (diff: -224)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: DET 67% (−15)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: DET 72% (−10)
- If the rating edge were neutral: DET 76% (−6)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: DET 83% (+1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Pistons at Wizards
The Pistons visit the Wizards at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the Pistons a 82% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Wizards to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Pistons (high): Pistons offense (124.5 PPG) outpaces Wizards (118.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Pistons (high): Pistons defense (112.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (116.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating favors the Pistons (medium): Wizards ELO 1395 vs Pistons ELO 1619 (diff: -224)
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Detroit Pistons
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Detroit Pistons
- ELO RatingFavors Detroit Pistons
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Washington Wizards
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Pistons offense (124.5 PPG) outpaces Wizards (118.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Pistons defense (112.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (116.0 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Wizards turnover differential (+0) vs Pistons (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Pistons
Wizards
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Washington Wizards
- Previous game67%WSH win probability
- Next game77%HOU win probability
Detroit Pistons
- Previous game83%DET win probability
- Next game84%DET win probability
Other games on Nov 12, 2026
- 79%TOR win probability
- 87%MIN win probability
- 54%PHX win probability
No other game on this slate
Frequently Asked Questions
Wizards has a 18% win probability, while Pistons has a 82% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC.