Charlotte Hornets at Phoenix Suns
Charlotte Hornets vs Phoenix Suns head-to-head
Phoenix Suns 54% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Suns:
- Offensive Efficiency. Suns offense (107.0 PPG) outpaces Hornets (102.0 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. Suns are 2-1 at home this season; Hornets are 1-2 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHX 72% (+18)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHX 38% (−16)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHX 48% (−6)
- If the rating edge were neutral: PHX 54% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Hornets at Suns
The Hornets visit the Suns at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the Suns a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Hornets to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Hornets (high): Hornets defense (113.7 Opp PPG) better than Suns (123.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Suns (high): Suns offense (107.0 PPG) outpaces Hornets (102.0 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Suns (medium): Suns are 2-1 at home this season; Hornets are 1-2 on the road
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Charlotte Hornets
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Phoenix Suns
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Phoenix Suns
- ELO RatingNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Hornets defense (113.7 Opp PPG) better than Suns (123.0 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Suns offense (107.0 PPG) outpaces Hornets (102.0 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Suns turnover differential (+0) vs Hornets (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Hornets
Suns
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Phoenix Suns
- Previous game62%GSW win probability
- Next game81%LAL win probability
Charlotte Hornets
- Previous game60%MIA win probability
- Next game83%LAC win probability
Other games on Nov 12, 2026
- 82%DET win probability
- 79%TOR win probability
- 87%MIN win probability
No other game on this slate
Frequently Asked Questions
Suns has a 54% win probability, while Hornets has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ.