MLB2026 season

Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Thu, Sep 24, 2026

BOS

Boston Red Sox

CLE

Cleveland Guardians

BOS 50%50% CLE

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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

CLE at BOS
Thu, Sep 24, 2026
BOS 50%
CLE 1–0
CLE at BOS
Wed, Sep 23, 2026
BOS 56%
BOS 0–1
CLE at BOS
Tue, Sep 22, 2026
—
CLE 3–2
BOS at CLE
Sun, May 31, 2026
CLE 56%
BOS 9–4
BOS at CLE
Sat, May 30, 2026
CLE 56%
BOS 9–1
BOS at CLE
Fri, May 29, 2026
CLE 58%
CLE 3–4

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate

40%

2 of 5 decided games

Meetings graded

2026

Correct calls

Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.