Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays 72% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Rays:
- Defensive Efficiency. Rays pitching/defense (4.0 RA/G) better than Rockies (5.8 RA/G)
- ELO Rating. Rockies ELO 1413 vs Rays ELO 1531 (diff: -118)
- Recent Form. Rays (96-62) in better form than Rockies (57-101)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Rays defeated the Rockies 4-0.
Our model predicted the Rays would win with 72% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Rays and was a major factor: Rays pitching/defense (4.0 RA/G) better than Rockies (5.8 RA/G)
- ELO Rating favored the Rays and was a contributing factor: Rockies ELO 1413 vs Rays ELO 1531 (diff: -118)
- Recent Form favored the Rays and was a contributing factor: Rays (96-62) in better form than Rockies (57-101)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Rays won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Tampa Bay Rays
- ELO RatingFavors Tampa Bay Rays
- Recent FormFavors Tampa Bay Rays
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Colorado Rockies
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Colorado Rockies
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Rays pitching/defense (4.0 RA/G) better than Rockies (5.8 RA/G)
Recent Form
Rays (96-62) in better form than Rockies (57-101)
Offensive Efficiency
Rockies offense (4.6 R/G) outpaces Rays (4.5 R/G)
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Rays
No player data available
Rockies
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Rockies has a 28% win probability, while Rays has a 72% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado.