Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles 65% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Orioles:
- Offensive Efficiency. Orioles offense (4.4 R/G) outpaces Angels (4.0 R/G)
- ELO Rating. Orioles ELO 1507 vs Angels ELO 1409 (diff: +98)
- Home Field Advantage. Orioles are 0-0 at home this season
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Orioles defeated the Angels 5-2.
Our model predicted the Orioles would win with 65% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Orioles and was a contributing factor: Orioles offense (4.4 R/G) outpaces Angels (4.0 R/G)
- ELO Rating favored the Orioles and was a contributing factor: Orioles ELO 1507 vs Angels ELO 1409 (diff: +98)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Orioles and was a notable factor: Orioles are 0-0 at home this season
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Orioles won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Baltimore Orioles
- ELO RatingFavors Baltimore Orioles
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Baltimore Orioles
- Recent FormFavors Baltimore Orioles
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Angels
Orioles
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Orioles has a 65% win probability, while Angels has a 35% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland.