Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels head-to-head
Detroit Tigers 57% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Tigers:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Rest Days. Tigers rest advantage (2 days rest) over Angels (1 day rest)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: DET 54% (−3)
- If the rest edge were neutral: DET 56% (−1)
Win probability movement
DET home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Angels defeated the Tigers 10-6.
Our model predicted the Tigers would win with 57% confidence, but the Angels won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Tigers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Rest Days favored the Tigers and was a contributing factor: Tigers rest advantage (2 days rest) over Angels (1 day rest)
- Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Angels won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Tigers
- Rest DaysFavors Detroit Tigers
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Angels
Tigers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Detroit Tigers
- Previous game55%BAL win probability
- Next game55%DET win probability
Los Angeles Angels
- Previous game54%LAA win probability
- Next game55%DET win probability
Other games on May 26, 2026
- 55%LAD win probability
- 55%OAK win probability
- 53%CLE win probability
- 54%BAL win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Tigers has a 57% win probability, while Angels has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan.