MLB2026 season
Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Jul 9, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- LAA at TEXThu, Jul 9, 2026TEX 56%TEX 6–7
- LAA at TEXWed, Jul 8, 2026TEX 56%LAA 13–1
- LAA at TEXTue, Jul 7, 2026TEX 58%TEX 3–8
- TEX at LAASun, May 24, 2026LAA 54%LAA 1–2
- TEX at LAASat, May 23, 2026LAA 54%LAA 2–5
- TEX at LAAFri, May 22, 2026LAA 52%LAA 6–9
- LAA at TEXSun, Mar 8, 2026TEX 61%LAA 10–7
- LAA at TEXSat, Feb 28, 2026—TEX 6–7
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
71%
5 of 7 decided games
Meetings graded
7
2026
Correct calls
5
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Los Angeles Angels
- Injuries — Angels healthier (10 out, 0 doubtful) vs Mariners (12 out, 0 doubtful)
Texas Rangers
- Defensive Efficiency — Rangers pitching/defense (4.4 RA/G) better than Twins (4.9 RA/G)
- Injuries — Rangers healthier (10 out, 0 doubtful) vs Twins (9 out, 0 doubtful)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.

