Montreal Canadiens at New Jersey Devils
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Canadiens defeated the Devils 4-3.
Our model predicted the Devils would win with 52% confidence, but the Canadiens pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Devils and was a notable factor: Devils are 0-0 at home this season
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Canadiens and was a contributing factor: Canadiens offense (3.5 PPG) outpaces Devils (2.5 PPG)
- Rest Days favored the Canadiens and was a contributing factor: Canadiens rest advantage (2 days rest) over Devils (1 day rest)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Canadiens won in a close game
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Devils
Canadiens
Odds by Sportsbook
| Source | Devils | Canadiens | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | - | - | |
| FanDuel | +105 | -126 | +1.5 | 6.5 |
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Canadiens
Devils
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Devils has a 52% win probability, while Canadiens has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Prudential Center in Newark, NJ.