Minnesota Wild at Ottawa Senators
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Wild defeated the Senators 4-1.
Our model predicted the Senators would win with 56% confidence, but the Wild pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Senators and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Senators (0 out) vs Wild (0 out)
- Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Senators (1 day rest) vs Wild (1 day rest)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Wild won in a close game
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Senators
Wild
Odds by Sportsbook
| Source | Senators | Wild | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | - | - | |
| DraftKings | -125 | +105 | -1.5 | 6.5 |
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Wild
Senators
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Senators has a 56% win probability, while Wild has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON.