Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche vs Detroit Red Wings head-to-head
Colorado Avalanche 74% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Avalanche:
- Injuries. Avalanche healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Avalanche are 6-2 at home this season; Red Wings are 2-3 on the road
- ELO Rating. Avalanche ELO 1547 vs Red Wings ELO 1476 (diff: +71)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the injury edge were neutral: COL 62% (−12)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: COL 69% (−5)
- If the rating edge were neutral: COL 72% (−2)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: COL 72% (−2)
Win probability movement
COL home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Red Wings at Avalanche
The Red Wings visit the Avalanche at Ball Arena in Denver, CO in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Avalanche a 74% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Red Wings to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Injuries favors the Avalanche (high): Avalanche healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favors the Avalanche (medium): Avalanche are 6-2 at home this season; Red Wings are 2-3 on the road
- ELO Rating favors the Avalanche (low): Avalanche ELO 1547 vs Red Wings ELO 1476 (diff: +71)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Avalanche have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Red Wings have 4.
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Colorado Avalanche
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Colorado Avalanche
- ELO RatingFavors Colorado Avalanche
- Recent FormFavors Colorado Avalanche
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Avalanche healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 4 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Injury Report
Avalanche
Red Wings
Key Players
Red Wings
Avalanche
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Colorado Avalanche
- Previous game54%COL win probability
- Next game
No next game this season
Detroit Red Wings
- Previous game65%VGK win probability
- Next game
No next game this season
Other games on Nov 8, 2026
- 51%OTT win probability
- 54%NJD win probability
- 60%MTL win probability
- 52%DAL win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Avalanche has a 74% win probability, while Red Wings has a 26% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Ball Arena in Denver, CO.