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Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Kraken logo
Kraken
Seattle
2
vs
Blackhawks logo
Blackhawks
Chicago
4
SEA 56%44% CHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueClimate Pledge Arena
Seattle, WA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Blackhawks (away)
Kraken (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Blackhawks defeated the Kraken 4-2.

Our model predicted the Kraken would win with 56% confidence, but the Blackhawks pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Kraken and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Blackhawks won 2-4

Blackhawks won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Kraken at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CHI
SEA
Home Field Advantage
Favours CHI|Favours SEA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Kraken

Our Model56%

Blackhawks

Our Model44%

Odds by Sportsbook

SourceKrakenBlackhawksSpreadO/U
----
FanDuel-178+146-1.55.5

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/4/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Blackhawks

Mitchell WeeksG
Arvid SoderblomG
Dave NozzolilloG
Spencer KnightG
Frank NazarC

Kraken

Victor OstmanG
Matt MurrayG
Nikke KokkoG
Philipp GrubauerG
Joey DaccordG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Kraken has a 56% win probability, while Blackhawks has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA.

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