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Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Oilers logo
Oilers
Edmonton
3
vs
Blackhawks logo
Blackhawks
Chicago
1
EDM 56%44% CHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueRogers Place
Edmonton, AB

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Blackhawks (away)
Oilers (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Oilers defeated the Blackhawks 3-1.

Our model predicted the Oilers would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Oilers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Oilers (2 days rest) vs Blackhawks (2 days rest)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Oilers won 3-1

Oilers won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Oilers at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CHI
EDM
Home Field Advantage
Favours CHI|Favours EDM

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Oilers

Our Model56%

Blackhawks

Our Model44%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/2/2026, 8:50:01 AM

Key Players

Blackhawks

Mitchell WeeksG
Arvid SoderblomG
Dave NozzolilloG
Spencer KnightG
Connor BedardC

Oilers

Connor IngramG
Tristan JarryG
Calvin PickardG
Owen MichaelsC
Colton DachC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Oilers has a 56% win probability, while Blackhawks has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB.

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