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Utah Utah Hockey Club at Seattle Kraken

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Kraken logo
Kraken
Seattle
2
vs
SEA 57%43% UTA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Seattle Kraken 57% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Kraken:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days. Kraken rest advantage (2 days rest) over Utah Hockey Club (5 days rest)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: SEA 52% (−5)
  • If the rest edge were neutral: SEA 56% (−1)

Win probability movement

SEA home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement62%57%51%Mar 30Apr 2

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

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VenueClimate Pledge Arena
Seattle, WA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Utah Hockey Club (away)
Kraken (home)
43%
Win probability
57%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Utah Hockey Club defeated the Kraken 6-2.

Our model predicted the Kraken would win with 57% confidence, but the Utah Hockey Club won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Kraken and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days favored the Kraken and was a contributing factor: Kraken rest advantage (2 days rest) over Utah Hockey Club (5 days rest)
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Utah Hockey Club won 2-6

Utah Hockey Club won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Kraken at 57%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Kraken
  • Rest DaysFavors Seattle Kraken
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

UTA
SEA
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours UTA|Favours SEA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/2/2026, 8:50:01 AM

Key Players

Utah Hockey Club

Sebastian CossaG
Anson ThorntonG
Matt VillaltaG
Karel VejmelkaG
Colten McIntyreG

Kraken

Nikke KokkoG
Philipp GrubauerG
Victor OstmanG
Matt MurrayG
Joey DaccordG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Kraken has a 57% win probability, while Utah Hockey Club has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA.

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