San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints

NFLWeek 2 • regular • 2025

completed

Saints

New Orleans

49ers

San Francisco

NO 56%44% SF

Prediction Confidence:

Moderate

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VenueCaesars Superdome

New Orleans, LA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

49ers (away)

Saints (home)

44%

Win probability

56%

High-impact factors

Players ruled out

49ers won 21-26

49ers won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Saints at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

Home Field Advantage

Rest Days

Favours SF|Favours NO

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Team Performance

Low impactHow team performanceworks →

4 factors

Offensive Efficiency

No offensive stats available for comparison

Neutral

Defensive Efficiency

No defensive stats available for comparison

Neutral

Recent Form

No recent form data available

Neutral

Turnover Differential

No turnover stats available for comparison

Neutral

Injuries & Personnel

Low impactHow injuries & personnelworks →

1 factor

Injuries

Similar injury situations: New Orleans Saints (0 out) vs San Francisco 49ers (0 out)

Neutral

Home & Venue

Medium impactHow home & venueworks →

1 factor

Home Field Advantage

Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

Saints

Rest & Schedule

Low impact

1 factor

Rest Days

New Orleans Saints has rest advantage (7 days) over San Francisco 49ers (6 days)

Saints

Weather & Conditions

Low impactHow weather & conditionsworks →

1 factor

Weather Impact

Indoor venue - weather not a factor

Neutral

Historical

Low impactHow historicalworks →

1 factor

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head history available

Neutral

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/27/2026, 10:41:16 PM

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NFL Win Probability

How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics

4 min readRead article

Deep Dive

Home Field Advantage

How playing at home affects NFL win probability

3 min readRead article

Deep Dive

NFL Weather Impact

How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Saints has a 56% win probability, while 49ers has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA.

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