Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders

NFLWeek 17 • regular • 2024

completed

Commanders

Washington

Falcons

Atlanta

WSH 56%44% ATL

Prediction Confidence:

High

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VenueFedExField

Landover, MD

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Falcons (away)

Commanders (home)

44%

Win probability

56%

High-impact factors

Players ruled out

Commanders won 30-24

Commanders won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Commanders at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ATL

WSH

Home Field Advantage

Favours ATL|Favours WSH

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Team Performance

Low impactHow team performanceworks →

4 factors

Defensive Efficiency

No defensive stats available for comparison

Neutral

Turnover Differential

No turnover stats available for comparison

Neutral

Recent Form

No recent form data available

Neutral

Offensive Efficiency

No offensive stats available for comparison

Neutral

Injuries & Personnel

Low impactHow injuries & personnelworks →

1 factor

Injuries

Similar injury situations: Washington Commanders (0 out) vs Atlanta Falcons (0 out)

Neutral

Home & Venue

Medium impactHow home & venueworks →

1 factor

Home Field Advantage

Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

Commanders

Rest & Schedule

Low impact

1 factor

Rest Days

Similar rest: Washington Commanders (7 days) vs Atlanta Falcons (7 days)

Neutral

Historical

Low impactHow historicalworks →

1 factor

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head history available

Neutral

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/27/2026, 10:41:15 PM

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NFL Win Probability

How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics

4 min readRead article

Deep Dive

Home Field Advantage

How playing at home affects NFL win probability

3 min readRead article

Deep Dive

NFL Weather Impact

How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Commanders has a 56% win probability, while Falcons has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at FedExField in Landover, MD.

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