Washington Wizards at Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards head-to-head
Toronto Raptors 88% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Raptors:
- Defensive Efficiency. Raptors defense (97.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (116.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency. Raptors offense (123.5 PPG) outpaces Wizards (118.0 PPG)
- ELO Rating. Raptors ELO 1543 vs Wizards ELO 1395 (diff: +147)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: TOR 77% (−11)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: TOR 78% (−10)
- If the rating edge were neutral: TOR 86% (−2)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: TOR 86% (−2)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Wizards at Raptors
The Wizards visit the Raptors at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the Raptors a 88% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Wizards to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Raptors (high): Raptors defense (97.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (116.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Raptors (high): Raptors offense (123.5 PPG) outpaces Wizards (118.0 PPG)
- ELO Rating favors the Raptors (medium): Raptors ELO 1543 vs Wizards ELO 1395 (diff: +147)
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Toronto Raptors
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Toronto Raptors
- ELO RatingFavors Toronto Raptors
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Toronto Raptors
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Raptors defense (97.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (116.0 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Raptors offense (123.5 PPG) outpaces Wizards (118.0 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Raptors turnover differential (+0) vs Wizards (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Wizards
Raptors
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Toronto Raptors
- Previous game86%TOR win probability
- Next game54%TOR win probability
Washington Wizards
- Previous game67%WSH win probability
- Next game73%WSH win probability
Other games on Nov 18, 2026
- 55%MIA win probability
- 80%PHI win probability
- 66%MEM win probability
- 86%HOU win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Raptors has a 88% win probability, while Wizards has a 12% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON.