Washington Wizards at Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards head-to-head
Washington Wizards 73% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Wizards:
- Defensive Efficiency. Wizards defense (116.0 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (128.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency. Wizards offense (118.0 PPG) outpaces Bulls (114.7 PPG)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: WSH 54% (−19)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: WSH 63% (−10)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: WSH 75% (+2)
- If the rating edge were neutral: WSH 74% (+1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Wizards at Bulls
The Wizards visit the Bulls at United Center in Chicago, IL in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the Wizards a 73% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Bulls to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Wizards (high): Wizards defense (116.0 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (128.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Wizards (medium): Wizards offense (118.0 PPG) outpaces Bulls (114.7 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Bulls (low): Bulls are 2-2 at home this season; Wizards are 2-1 on the road
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Washington Wizards
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Washington Wizards
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Bulls
- ELO RatingFavors Chicago Bulls
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Wizards defense (116.0 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (128.0 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Wizards offense (118.0 PPG) outpaces Bulls (114.7 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Bulls turnover differential (+0) vs Wizards (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Wizards
Bulls
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Chicago Bulls
- Previous game67%WSH win probability
- Next game-No model yet
Washington Wizards
- Previous game67%WSH win probability
- Next game-No model yet
Other games on Nov 20, 2026
- 85%ATL win probability
- 78%BKN win probability
- 54%TOR win probability
- 72%CLE win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Bulls has a 27% win probability, while Wizards has a 73% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.