Toronto Raptors at Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors head-to-head
Toronto Raptors 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Raptors:
- Defensive Efficiency. Raptors defense (97.0 Opp PPG) better than Pistons (112.0 Opp PPG)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: TOR 35% (−19)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: TOR 62% (+8)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: TOR 57% (+3)
- If the rating edge were neutral: TOR 57% (+3)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Raptors at Pistons
The Raptors visit the Pistons at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the Raptors a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Pistons to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Raptors (high): Raptors defense (97.0 Opp PPG) better than Pistons (112.0 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Pistons (high): Pistons are 3-0 at home this season; Raptors are 1-2 on the road
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Pistons (low): Pistons offense (124.5 PPG) outpaces Raptors (123.5 PPG)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Toronto Raptors
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Pistons
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Detroit Pistons
- ELO RatingFavors Detroit Pistons
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Raptors defense (97.0 Opp PPG) better than Pistons (112.0 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Pistons offense (124.5 PPG) outpaces Raptors (123.5 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Pistons turnover differential (+0) vs Raptors (+0)
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
Pistons are 3-0 at home this season; Raptors are 1-2 on the road
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Raptors
Pistons
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Detroit Pistons
- Previous game83%DET win probability
- Next game-No model yet
Toronto Raptors
- Previous game86%TOR win probability
- Next game-No model yet
Other games on Nov 20, 2026
- 85%ATL win probability
- 78%BKN win probability
- 72%CLE win probability
- 73%WSH win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Pistons has a 46% win probability, while Raptors has a 54% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI.