San Antonio Spurs at Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls vs San Antonio Spurs head-to-head
San Antonio Spurs 60% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Spurs:
- Defensive Efficiency. Spurs defense (112.0 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (128.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating. Bulls ELO 1453 vs Spurs ELO 1606 (diff: -153)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: SAS 40% (−20)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: SAS 68% (+8)
- If the rating edge were neutral: SAS 54% (−6)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: SAS 65% (+5)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Spurs at Bulls
The Spurs visit the Bulls at United Center in Chicago, IL in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the Spurs a 60% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Bulls to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Spurs (high): Spurs defense (112.0 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (128.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Bulls (medium): Bulls offense (114.7 PPG) outpaces Spurs (112.0 PPG)
- ELO Rating favors the Spurs (medium): Bulls ELO 1453 vs Spurs ELO 1606 (diff: -153)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors San Antonio Spurs
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Chicago Bulls
- ELO RatingFavors San Antonio Spurs
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Bulls
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Spurs defense (112.0 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (128.0 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Bulls offense (114.7 PPG) outpaces Spurs (112.0 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Bulls turnover differential (+0) vs Spurs (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Spurs
Bulls
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Chicago Bulls
- Previous game67%WSH win probability
- Next game84%ATL win probability
San Antonio Spurs
- Previous game56%DAL win probability
- Next game79%SAS win probability
Other games on Nov 11, 2026
- 60%NYK win probability
- 84%TOR win probability
- 72%WSH win probability
- 57%NOP win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Bulls has a 40% win probability, while Spurs has a 60% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.