Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks
Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks head-to-head
New York Knicks 60% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Knicks:
- Defensive Efficiency. Knicks defense (106.5 Opp PPG) better than Cavaliers (117.5 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. Knicks are 1-3 at home this season; Cavaliers are 0-2 on the road
- ELO Rating. Knicks ELO 1599 vs Cavaliers ELO 1518 (diff: +81)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: NYK 77% (+17)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: NYK 40% (−20)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: NYK 55% (−5)
- If the rating edge were neutral: NYK 57% (−3)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Cavaliers at Knicks
The Cavaliers visit the Knicks at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the Knicks a 60% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Cavaliers to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Cavaliers (high): Cavaliers offense (115.5 PPG) outpaces Knicks (101.5 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Knicks (high): Knicks defense (106.5 Opp PPG) better than Cavaliers (117.5 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Knicks (medium): Knicks are 1-3 at home this season; Cavaliers are 0-2 on the road
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Cleveland Cavaliers
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors New York Knicks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Knicks
- ELO RatingFavors New York Knicks
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Cavaliers offense (115.5 PPG) outpaces Knicks (101.5 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Knicks defense (106.5 Opp PPG) better than Cavaliers (117.5 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Knicks turnover differential (+0) vs Cavaliers (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Cavaliers
Knicks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
New York Knicks
- Previous game54%BOS win probability
- Next game51%IND win probability
Cleveland Cavaliers
- Previous game60%CLE win probability
- Next game79%CLE win probability
Other games on Nov 11, 2026
- 84%TOR win probability
- 72%WSH win probability
- 57%NOP win probability
- 81%MEM win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Knicks has a 60% win probability, while Cavaliers has a 40% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY.