Phoenix Suns at Utah Jazz
Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz head-to-head
Utah Jazz 75% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Jazz:
- Offensive Efficiency. Jazz offense (111.5 PPG) outpaces Suns (107.0 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. Jazz are 2-1 at home this season; Suns are 0-4 on the road
- Defensive Efficiency. Jazz defense (121.0 Opp PPG) better than Suns (123.0 Opp PPG)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: UTA 62% (−13)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: UTA 68% (−7)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: UTA 69% (−6)
- If the rating edge were neutral: UTA 78% (+3)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Suns at Jazz
The Suns visit the Jazz at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the Jazz a 75% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Suns to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Jazz (high): Jazz offense (111.5 PPG) outpaces Suns (107.0 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Jazz (high): Jazz are 2-1 at home this season; Suns are 0-4 on the road
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Jazz (medium): Jazz defense (121.0 Opp PPG) better than Suns (123.0 Opp PPG)
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Utah Jazz
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Jazz
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Utah Jazz
- ELO RatingFavors Phoenix Suns
- Rest DaysNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Jazz offense (111.5 PPG) outpaces Suns (107.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Jazz defense (121.0 Opp PPG) better than Suns (123.0 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Jazz turnover differential (+0) vs Suns (+0)
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
Jazz are 2-1 at home this season; Suns are 0-4 on the road
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Suns
Jazz
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Utah Jazz
- Previous game77%NOP win probability
- Next game-No model yet
Phoenix Suns
- Previous game62%GSW win probability
- Next game-No model yet
Other games on Nov 20, 2026
- 85%ATL win probability
- 78%BKN win probability
- 54%TOR win probability
- 72%CLE win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Jazz has a 75% win probability, while Suns has a 25% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT.