NBA2026-27 season
Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz
Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Next meeting
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Dallas Mavericks
- Defensive Efficiency — Mavericks defense (116.5 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (121.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency — Mavericks offense (115.5 PPG) outpaces Jazz (111.5 PPG)
- ELO Rating — Mavericks ELO 1423 vs Jazz ELO 1370 (diff: +53)
Utah Jazz
- Injuries — Jazz healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Mavericks 6 out, 0 doubtful
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.