Indiana Pacers at Philadelphia 76ers
Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers head-to-head
Philadelphia 76ers 82% to win. The top 3 signals favoring 76ers:
- Defensive Efficiency. 76ers defense (107.3 Opp PPG) better than Pacers (120.5 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency. 76ers offense (115.7 PPG) outpaces Pacers (114.0 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. 76ers are 3-1 at home this season; Pacers are 1-1 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 67% (−15)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 78% (−4)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 78% (−4)
- If the rating edge were neutral: PHI 79% (−3)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Pacers at 76ers
The Pacers visit the 76ers at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the 76ers a 82% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Pacers to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Defensive Efficiency favors the 76ers (high): 76ers defense (107.3 Opp PPG) better than Pacers (120.5 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favors the 76ers (low): 76ers offense (115.7 PPG) outpaces Pacers (114.0 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favors the 76ers (medium): 76ers are 3-1 at home this season; Pacers are 1-1 on the road
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
76ers defense (107.3 Opp PPG) better than Pacers (120.5 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
76ers offense (115.7 PPG) outpaces Pacers (114.0 PPG)
Turnover Differential
76ers turnover differential (+0) vs Pacers (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Pacers
76ers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Philadelphia 76ers
- Previous game51%PHI win probability
- Next game78%PHI win probability
Indiana Pacers
- Previous game90%IND win probability
- Next game86%HOU win probability
Other games on Nov 15, 2026
- 81%LAL win probability
- 83%LAC win probability
- 71%SAS win probability
- 87%TOR win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
76ers has a 82% win probability, while Pacers has a 18% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.