NBA2026-27 season
New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors
Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
No 2026-27 meetings yet.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
New York Knicks
- Defensive Efficiency — Knicks defense (106.5 Opp PPG) better than Cavaliers (114.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating — Cavaliers ELO 1513 vs Knicks ELO 1599 (diff: -85)
Toronto Raptors
- Defensive Efficiency — Raptors defense (97.0 Opp PPG) better than Bucks (130.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency — Raptors offense (123.5 PPG) outpaces Bucks (120.5 PPG)
- ELO Rating — Bucks ELO 1354 vs Raptors ELO 1543 (diff: -189)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.