Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Kings defeated the Warriors 124-118.
Our model predicted the Warriors would win with 80% confidence, but the Kings pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Warriors and was a major factor: Warriors defense (114.7 Opp PPG) better than Kings (121.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Warriors and was a major factor: Warriors offense (114.8 PPG) outpaces Kings (110.8 PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Warriors and was a notable factor: Warriors (33-38) in better form than Kings (18-53)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Kings won by a solid margin
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Warriors defense (114.7 Opp PPG) better than Kings (121.0 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Warriors offense (114.8 PPG) outpaces Kings (110.8 PPG)
Recent Form
Warriors (33-38) in better form than Kings (18-53)
Turnover Differential
Kings turnover differential (+0) vs Warriors (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Warriors
Kings
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Kings has a 20% win probability, while Warriors has a 80% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA.