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Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Hawks logo
Hawks
Atlanta
124
vs
Cavaliers logo
Cavaliers
Cleveland
102
ATL 42%58% CLE
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueState Farm Arena
Atlanta, GA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Cavaliers (away)
Hawks (home)
58%
Win probability
42%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Hawks defeated the Cavaliers 124-102.

Our model predicted the Cavaliers would win with 58% confidence, but the Hawks pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Cavaliers and was a notable factor: Cavaliers defense (114.7 Opp PPG) better than Hawks (116.5 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Cavaliers and was a contributing factor: Cavaliers offense (119.1 PPG) outpaces Hawks (117.7 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Hawks and was a contributing factor: Hawks are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Hawks won 124-102

Hawks won in a blowout

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Cavaliers at 58%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CLE
ATL
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Favours CLE|Favours ATL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/10/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Key Players

Cavaliers

Max StrusG
Dennis SchroderG
Craig Porter Jr.G
Tyrese ProctorG
James HardenG

Hawks

Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
Dyson DanielsG
RayJ DennisG
Buddy HieldG
CJ McCollumG

Frequently Asked Questions

Hawks has a 42% win probability, while Cavaliers has a 58% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA.

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