PlayDecoded
Menu
NBA2026-27 season

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers

Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Next meeting

Fri, Oct 30, 2026

Warriors logo
GSW
Golden State Warriors
Upcoming
Lakers logo
LAL
Los Angeles Lakers
GSW 11%89% LAL
Open the game page

This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
100%
1 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026-27
Correct calls
1
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Golden State Warriors
  • Defensive Efficiency — Warriors defense (119.0 Opp PPG) better than Magic (123.5 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage — Warriors are 3-1 at home this season; Magic are 1-1 on the road
Los Angeles Lakers
  • Home Field Advantage — Lakers are 3-2 at home this season; Trail Blazers are 2-1 on the road

Get the weekly model report card

Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.