Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers head-to-head
Philadelphia 76ers 81% to win. The top 3 signals favoring 76ers:
- Offensive Efficiency. 76ers offense (115.7 PPG) outpaces Celtics (110.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. 76ers defense (107.3 Opp PPG) better than Celtics (112.0 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. 76ers are 3-1 at home this season; Celtics are 2-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 67% (−14)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 70% (−11)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 79% (−2)
- If the rating edge were neutral: PHI 83% (+2)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Celtics at 76ers
The Celtics visit the 76ers at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the 76ers a 81% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Celtics to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Offensive Efficiency favors the 76ers (high): 76ers offense (115.7 PPG) outpaces Celtics (110.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favors the 76ers (high): 76ers defense (107.3 Opp PPG) better than Celtics (112.0 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favors the 76ers (low): 76ers are 3-1 at home this season; Celtics are 2-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- ELO RatingFavors Boston Celtics
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
76ers offense (115.7 PPG) outpaces Celtics (110.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
76ers defense (107.3 Opp PPG) better than Celtics (112.0 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
76ers turnover differential (+0) vs Celtics (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Celtics
76ers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Philadelphia 76ers
- Previous game51%PHI win probability
- Next game79%TOR win probability
Boston Celtics
- Previous game54%BOS win probability
- Next game84%TOR win probability
Other games on Nov 10, 2026
- 64%NYK win probability
- 73%UTA win probability
- 78%LAC win probability
- 61%ORL win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
76ers has a 81% win probability, while Celtics has a 19% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.