MLB2026 season
Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- TB at TORThu, Jul 23, 2026TOR 56%TOR 1–3
- TB at TORWed, Jul 22, 2026TOR 56%TB 4–2
- TB at TORTue, Jul 21, 2026TOR 56%TB 12–2
- TB at TORMon, Jul 20, 2026TOR 56%TB 7–1
- TB at TORWed, May 13, 2026TOR 55%TOR 3–5
- TB at TORTue, May 12, 2026TOR 55%TB 7–6
- TB at TORMon, May 11, 2026TOR 55%TB 8–5
- TOR at TBWed, May 6, 2026TB 55%TB 0–3
- TOR at TBTue, May 5, 2026TB 55%TB 3–4
- TOR at TBMon, May 4, 2026TB 55%TB 1–5
- TB at TORSun, Mar 22, 2026TOR 55%TOR 1–14
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
55%
6 of 11 decided games
Meetings graded
11
2026
Correct calls
6
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Tampa Bay Rays
No recent factors yet.
Toronto Blue Jays
- Defensive Efficiency — Blue Jays pitching/defense (4.3 RA/G) better than Reds (5.1 RA/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Blue Jays are 36-34 at home this season; Reds are 33-40 on the road
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