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Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Blue Jays logo
Blue Jays
Toronto
14
vs
Rays logo
Rays
Tampa Bay
1
TOR 55%45% TB
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueTD Ballpark
Dunedin, Florida

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rays (away)
Blue Jays (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Blue Jays defeated the Rays 14-1.

Our model predicted the Blue Jays would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Blue Jays and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Blue Jays won 14-1

Blue Jays won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Blue Jays at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

TB
TOR
Home Field Advantage
Favours TB|Favours TOR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/22/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Rays

No player data available

Blue Jays

Kevin GausmanSP
Patrick CorbinSP
Dylan CeaseSP
Trey YesavageSP
Brandon ValenzuelaC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Blue Jays has a 55% win probability, while Rays has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at TD Ballpark in Dunedin, Florida.

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