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Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Rays logo
Rays
Tampa Bay
3
vs
Blue Jays logo
Blue Jays
Toronto
0
TB 55%45% TOR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueTropicana Field
St. Petersburg, Florida

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Blue Jays (away)
Rays (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Rays defeated the Blue Jays 3-0.

Our model predicted the Rays would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Rays and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Rays (0 out) vs Blue Jays (0 out)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Rays won 3-0

Rays won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Rays at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

TOR
TB
Home Field Advantage
Favours TOR|Favours TB

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/6/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Blue Jays

Kevin GausmanSP
Patrick CorbinSP
Dylan CeaseSP
Trey YesavageSP
Brandon ValenzuelaC

Rays

No player data available

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Rays has a 55% win probability, while Blue Jays has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida.

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