Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Rays (away)
Blue Jays (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Blue Jays won 5-3
Blue Jays won in a close game
Prediction CorrectWe predicted Blue Jays at 55%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
TB
TOR
Home Field Advantage
Favours TB|Favours TOR
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/13/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Key Players
Rays
No player data available
Blue Jays
Kevin GausmanSP
Patrick CorbinSP
Dylan CeaseSP
Trey YesavageSP
Brandon ValenzuelaC
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blue Jays has a 55% win probability, while Rays has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario.