MLB2026 season
Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
1
vs
CHC
Chicago Cubs
9
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- CHC at CINSun, Sep 20, 2026—CHC 9–1
- CHC at CINSat, Sep 19, 2026—CHC 5–2
- CHC at CINFri, Sep 18, 2026—CIN 4–6
- CHC at CINSun, Jul 12, 2026CIN 55%CHC 8–4
- CHC at CINSat, Jul 11, 2026CIN 55%CHC 5–3
- CHC at CINFri, Jul 10, 2026CIN 55%CIN 0–4
- CIN at CHCThu, May 7, 2026CHC 55%CHC 3–8
- CIN at CHCWed, May 6, 2026CHC 55%CHC 6–7
- CIN at CHCTue, May 5, 2026CHC 55%CHC 2–3
- CIN at CHCMon, May 4, 2026CHC 55%CHC 4–5
- CIN at CHCFri, Mar 20, 2026CHC 55%CIN 8–6
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
63%
5 of 8 decided games
Meetings graded
8
2026
Correct calls
5
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Chicago Cubs
- Offensive Efficiency — Cubs offense (5.2 R/G) outpaces Padres (4.5 R/G)
Cincinnati Reds
- Injuries — Reds healthier (7 out, 0 doubtful) vs Blue Jays (14 out, 0 doubtful)
- Offensive Efficiency — Reds offense (4.1 R/G) outpaces Blue Jays (4.0 R/G)
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