Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
CIN 55%45% CHC
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate
Cincinnati Reds 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Reds:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Cubs (away)
Reds (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Reds55%
has a slight edge to win
Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors CIN
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Cincinnati Reds
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
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What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
CHC
CIN
Home Field Advantage
Favours CHC|Favours CIN
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 7/7/2026, 8:45:02 AM
Key Players
Cubs
Colin ReaSP
Edward CabreraSP
Shota ImanagaSP
Jameson TaillonSP
David PetersonSP
Reds
Brady SingerSP
Andrew AbbottSP
Chase BurnsSP
Rhett LowderSP
Nick LodoloSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Reds has a 55% win probability, while Cubs has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio.