MLB2026 season
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- TOR at BOSSun, Jul 26, 2026BOS 53%BOS 1–6
- TOR at BOSSat, Jul 25, 2026BOS 53%TOR 6–0
- TOR at BOSFri, Jul 24, 2026BOS 54%BOS 4–6
- TOR at BOSThu, Jun 18, 2026BOS 53%TOR 4–3
- TOR at BOSWed, Jun 17, 2026BOS 53%TOR 3–0
- TOR at BOSTue, Jun 16, 2026BOS 51%TOR 6–1
- BOS at TORWed, Apr 29, 2026TOR 55%TOR 1–8
- BOS at TORTue, Apr 28, 2026TOR 55%TOR 0–3
- BOS at TORMon, Apr 27, 2026TOR 55%BOS 5–0
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
44%
4 of 9 decided games
Meetings graded
9
2026
Correct calls
4
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Boston Red Sox
- ELO Rating — Yankees ELO 1533 vs Red Sox ELO 1567 (diff: -35)
Toronto Blue Jays
- Defensive Efficiency — Blue Jays pitching/defense (4.3 RA/G) better than Reds (5.1 RA/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Blue Jays are 36-34 at home this season; Reds are 33-40 on the road
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