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Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Blue Jays logo
Blue Jays
Toronto
8
vs
Red Sox logo
Red Sox
Boston
1
TOR 55%45% BOS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueRogers Centre
Toronto, Ontario

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Red Sox (away)
Blue Jays (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Blue Jays defeated the Red Sox 8-1.

Our model predicted the Blue Jays would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Blue Jays and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Weather Impact was neutral and a contributing factor: Weather data not available
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Blue Jays won 8-1

Blue Jays won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Blue Jays at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

BOS
TOR
Home Field Advantage
Favours BOS|Favours TOR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/29/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Red Sox

Ranger SuarezSP
Brayan BelloSP
Connelly EarlySP
Sonny GraySP
Payton TolleSP

Blue Jays

Dylan CeaseSP
Patrick CorbinSP
Kevin GausmanSP
Trey YesavageSP
George SpringerDH

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Blue Jays has a 55% win probability, while Red Sox has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario.

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