Chicago Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago White Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers head-to-head
Milwaukee Brewers 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Brewers:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field advantage were neutral: MIL 52% (−3)
Win probability movement
MIL home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Brewers defeated the Chicago White Sox 6-1.
Our model predicted the Brewers would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Brewers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison
- Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Brewers won by a solid margin
How the call held up
The last pre-game call against the final score. Winner pre-game probability is how unexpected the result was.
The model favored MIL at 55%. Final: MIL 6–CWS 1.
- pre-game call
- MIL 55%
- Final score
- MIL 6–CWS 1
- Favored team
- The favored team won
- Winner's pre-game probability
- 55%
Simple alignment check: whether the team each factor favored won. This is not a causal claim.
- Home Field Advantage favored MIL. Lined up: MIL won.
- Defensive Efficiency was neutral — no side favored.
- Head to Head was neutral — no side favored.
- Injuries was neutral — no side favored.
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Milwaukee Brewers
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Chicago White Sox
Brewers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Milwaukee Brewers
- Previous game52%MIL win probability
- Next game72%MIL win probability
Chicago White Sox
- Previous game52%MIL win probability
- Next game
Next game not scheduled yet
Other games on Mar 28, 2026
- 55%STL win probability
- 55%CHC win probability
- 55%TOR win probability
- 55%BAL win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Brewers has a 55% win probability, while Chicago White Sox has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.