NHL weekly recap: week of 2026-02-23 (2025-26)
Hit rate this week: 40% across 5 games; season-to-date: 53%. Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as model accuracy.
Biggest upset
The model's favorite lost at 55% — final VAN 2–WPG 3
- Home Field Advantage (favors VAN)
- Recent Form (favors WPG)
| Game | Pre-game | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maple Leafs at Lightning Thu, Feb 26 | TBL 57% • TOR 43% | TBL 4–TOR 2 | Hit |
| Avalanche at Utah Hockey Club Thu, Feb 26 | UTA 53% • COL 47% | UTA 2–COL 4 | Miss |
| Jets at Canucks Thu, Feb 26 | VAN 55% • WPG 45% | VAN 2–WPG 3 | Miss |
| Golden Knights at Kings Thu, Feb 26 | LAK 54% • VGK 46% | LAK 4–VGK 6 | Miss |
| Oilers at Ducks Thu, Feb 26 | ANA 55% • EDM 45% | ANA 6–EDM 5 | Hit |