Colorado Avalanche at Utah Utah Hockey Club
Utah Utah Hockey Club 53% to win. The biggest signal favoring Utah Hockey Club:
- Home Field Advantage. Utah Hockey Club are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: UTA 50% (−3)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: UTA 55% (+2)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Avalanche defeated the Utah Hockey Club 4-2.
Our model predicted the Utah Hockey Club would win with 53% confidence, but the Avalanche won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Colorado Avalanche (37-9) in better form than Utah Hockey Club (30-23)
- Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club turnover differential (+0) vs Colorado Avalanche (+0)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Avalanche won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
- Recent FormFavors Colorado Avalanche
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
2 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
4 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Avalanche
Utah Hockey Club
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Utah Hockey Club has a 53% win probability, while Avalanche has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
Venue information is not yet available for this game.