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Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Canucks logo
Canucks
Vancouver
2
vs
Jets logo
Jets
Winnipeg
3
VAN 55%45% WPG
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Vancouver Canucks 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Canucks:

  • Home Field Advantage. Vancouver Canucks are 0-0 at home this season

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: VAN 51% (−4)
  • If the recent-form edge were neutral: VAN 56% (+1)

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Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Jets (away)
Canucks (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Jets defeated the Canucks 3-2.

Our model predicted the Canucks would win with 55% confidence, but the Jets won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Canucks and was a notable factor: Vancouver Canucks are 0-0 at home this season
  • Recent Form favored the Jets and was a contributing factor: Winnipeg Jets (22-26) in better form than Vancouver Canucks (18-33)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar offensive efficiency (0.0 vs 0.0 YPP)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Jets won 2-3

Jets won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Canucks at 55%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Vancouver Canucks
  • Recent FormFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

WPG
VAN
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Favours WPG|Favours VAN

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

4 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/18/2026, 10:35:02 AM

Key Players

Jets

Stuart SkinnerG
Clay StevensonG
Connor HellebuyckG
Isaac PoulterG
Gabriel VilardiC

Canucks

Kevin LankinenG
Nikita TolopiloG
Leevi MerilainenG
Thatcher DemkoG
Marco RossiC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Canucks has a 55% win probability, while Jets has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

Venue information is not yet available for this game.

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